Movers
Specific actors, signals, policies and events that bend which fork a prediction takes.
Events and shifts
· 3People and institutions
· 11actorLeverage
Rising-power elite
High leverage · 78 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
27
toward B
toward B
In 27 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Ruling-power elite
High leverage · 75 / 100
35
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 35 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Crisis-triggered leader
High leverage · 70 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 36 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Multilateral finance institution
Medium leverage · 65 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 17 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Institutional defender
Medium leverage · 60 / 100
35
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 35 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Global health institution
Medium leverage · 55 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 19 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Prophet generation (visionary elders)
Medium leverage · 55 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 6 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Hero generation (civic team-builders)
Medium leverage · 50 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 0 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Nomad generation (pragmatic survivors)
Medium leverage · 50 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 0 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Visionary ethical authority
Medium leverage · 40 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 7 predictionsOpen
actorLeverage
Artist generation (sensitive adapters)
Medium leverage · 40 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 0 predictionsOpen
Market and economic signals
· 3signalLeverage
Institutional trust decay
Medium leverage · 55 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
55
toward B
toward B
In 55 predictionsOpen
marketLeverage
Collective pull shift
Medium leverage · 50 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 69 predictionsOpen
signalLeverage
Leading economic indicator
Medium leverage · 45 / 100
0
toward A
toward A
0
toward B
toward B
In 24 predictionsOpen