Prophet generation (visionary elders)
6 predictions moved
Definition
Strauss-Howe archetype: generational cohort born during a post-crisis High era (childhood coincides with institutional strength). As they age into elder leadership during the next Crisis era (fourth turning), they tend to be moralistic, visionary, principled, and willing to push high-stakes conflicts to resolution. Example cohorts: US Boomers (1943-1960), Transcendental (1792-1821), Missionary (1860-1882), Puritan (1588-1617).
Predictions it moves
A French intellectual will author an influential book titled roughly 'The Open Way' that becomes a philosophical movement?
Quiet path · not yet modeled
No market signal
A charismatic political-religious figure will emerge from Latin America, taking spiritual orders around age 30?
Quiet path · not yet modeled
No market signal
The American working class: wage gains or wage decline?
Quiet path · not yet modeled
US unemployment rate stays between 3.8% and 4.8% through end of 2026?
Quiet path · not yet modeled
No market signal
US real median weekly earnings grow by more than 1% from Q4 2024 to Q4 2027?
Quiet path · not yet modeled
US prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate stays above 83 percent at every monthly reading in 2027?
Quiet path · not yet modeled
Appears in these cycles
How to read this
A mover is a specific actor, signal, policy, or event whose behavior shifts which fork a prediction takes. The direction tag on each prediction row shows whether this mover tilts the odds toward Timeline A, Timeline B, either side, or only under specific conditions. See the method for how leverage is scored.