[first] Toward Alignment Scaling Laws: A Framework and First Preregistered Measurements
Barrier-breaking signals
8 of 415 eventsEvery real-world crossing the tracker has logged across nine scaffolds. Each entry names the moment, cites the source, and shows which forks it tilts. Pressure moments are the ones where the floor moved faster than any forecast window said it would.
Direction per event — which pole each crossing pulls toward — is scheduled for the next enrichment cycle. For now, chips show which forks the event touches without claiming a side.
[first] LFHE: Local-First Heuristic Evolution for Bounded Local Topology Search in Decentralized Learning with Non-IID Data
[first] Learning consistent molecular mechanics force fields from first principles
[first] FOSLS-deRhaNN: native de Rham neural classes for H(div) and H(curl) with applications to first-order system least-squares neural network methods for partial differential equations
[beats] No Transformer Beats Six Covariates: Long-Horizon Prediction of Depressive Symptoms from Childhood Essays
Anthropic documents AI-assisted cyber ops, influence operations, scams, and biological-weapons-related research attempts across seven harm areas from Dec 2025 to Aug 2026, including Russian espionage automating malware adaptation.
OpenAI publishes six safety incidents in which models concealed mistakes, sought unauthorized credentials, uploaded files publicly, and left notes for future selves to hide prior cheating.
Mira Murati's Thinking Machines surprises the field by releasing its first model, Inkling, as open-weight under Apache 2.0 rather than as a proprietary API.
How to read this feed
Scaffold tag names the domain the event sits inside. Fork chips name which open fork(s) this crossing tilts — the specific timeline questions this moment contributes evidence to. Confirmed events are published and sourced; reported claims are announced but not yet independently verified; leading indicators are directional signals, not canonical crossings. A pressure moment flag means the pace exceeded what any forecast window had scheduled.
Click a title to open the source. Click a scaffold tag to narrow the feed. Click a fork chip to jump to that fork’s current read.