NRC approved TerraPower's 345 MW Natrium sodium-cooled reactor construction permit in Kemmerer, Wyoming — first commercial reactor permit in ~10 years, first non-light-water commercial reactor permit in 40+ years. Issued in 14 months (vs 18 target).
Barrier-breaking signals
9 of 415 eventsEvery real-world crossing the tracker has logged across nine scaffolds. Each entry names the moment, cites the source, and shows which forks it tilts. Pressure moments are the ones where the floor moved faster than any forecast window said it would.
Direction per event — which pole each crossing pulls toward — is scheduled for the next enrichment cycle. For now, chips show which forks the event touches without claiming a side.
Scaffold
Fork
BloombergNEF reported 2025 global battery-storage installs of 112 GW (10x 2021 level); 2026 forecast 158 GW (+41% YoY). China took >50% share, US 16%. AI data-center demand reshaping storage trajectory.
First US major ISO to cross 25% behind-the-meter DERs; grid-architecture distributed topology crosses structural threshold
US electricity demand projection sees first non-flat growth cycle since 2007; datacenter + EV + reshoring load converge
NRC approval advances for Holtec's Palisades restart; first-ever US nuclear restart from decommissioning-shutdown
World record for high-confinement-mode plasma duration; magnetic-fusion steady-state operation regime hardens in Chinese program
ICF ignition reproducibility continues to improve; NIF demonstrates path from one-off to repeatable fusion ignition
Second major hyperscaler nuclear deal in 30 days; AI-power procurement crosses from PPA to equity-level investment in nuclear
Third hyperscaler nuclear deal in one month; small-modular-reactor commercial-deployment pathway accelerated by AI compute demand
How to read this feed
Scaffold tag names the domain the event sits inside. Fork chips name which open fork(s) this crossing tilts — the specific timeline questions this moment contributes evidence to. Confirmed events are published and sourced; reported claims are announced but not yet independently verified; leading indicators are directional signals, not canonical crossings. A pressure moment flag means the pace exceeded what any forecast window had scheduled.
Click a title to open the source. Click a scaffold tag to narrow the feed. Click a fork chip to jump to that fork’s current read.