Through 2035, the Indian world runs its alliance formation + disbanding at a EXTREME amplitude relative to late-20th-century baselines?

By 2035, India forms and breaks alliances with countries at a pace two to three times faster than the 1980s and 1990s. One year India deepens ties with Vietnam and Japan; the next it pivots closer to Russia or negotiates with China. Arms deals, defense pacts, and trade blocs shift every 18 to 24 months instead of holding steady for decades. SIPRI data shows India moving weapons partnerships across five or six different regions in rapid succession, and the Lowy Index tracks India's regional power networks forming and dissolving in patterns that look chaotic compared to the Cold War era.

By 2035, India's alliance pattern looks familiar to anyone who watched the last 40 years. Partnerships with the United States, Japan, and Vietnam deepen slowly and stay durable. Ties to Russia cool gradually but don't snap. India does not jolt between opposing camps or remake its friend groups every couple of years. The speed of alliance shifts stays within the same bandwidth as the late 1900s—slower rotations, longer commitments, predictable rhythm.