Timelines/Methodology
How this works — in one page.
The full methodology — how we tell the difference between what reality supports and what people are pulling toward, how we score predictions once outcomes land, and what would make us wrong — is being published here.
What’s coming on this page
- — The two timelines we usually put in front of you.
- — What we mean by “where reality supports” vs “where people are pulling.”
- — How we name the moves that shift you between timelines.
- — The timeline nobody’s watching — and why we always try to name it.
- — How we score predictions once outcomes land, and where we admit misses.
- — What would make our whole frame wrong.